Payrolls

Stocks, Bond Yields, & Crypto Soar Amid Payrolls Plunge, "Damaged" Democracy, & Biden's "Trillions"

So, the first week of the year brought us – the worst first day for stocks in two decades, the “darkest day in American democracy”, a dismal jobs print (far worse than expected), ISM beats that were almost entirely predicated on model misattribution of global supply chain disruptions, a blue-sweep of government (fiscal-palooza), and the…

S&P Futures Hit Record High Above 3,800 Ahead Of Dismal Payrolls Report

While there is broad consensus that today’s payrolls report will be ugly, with economists expecting a sharp slowdown in December job growth in the U.S. due to the second wave of covid lockdowns and a quarter of those surveyed (including Goldman) predicting a negative print when the data is published at 8:30 a.m. ET, that…

November Payrolls Huge Miss At Just 245K Jobs Added, Unemployment Rate 6.7%

As noted earlier in our preview, consensus expected a return to weakness in the labor market as surging Covid-19 case counts have led to to a return of lockdown measures, which explicitly means less hiring and sure enough moments ago the BLS reported that in November, a paltry 245K jobs were added, a huge miss…

November Payrolls Preview: It’s About To Get Ugly Again

After several months of blistering job growth, economists expect the rate of US jobs growth to cool sharply in November, with consensus looking for 478k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the economy (well below the 638k seen in October) due to the broad-based resurgence of the coronavirus and related business restrictions which are consistent…

October Payrolls Preview: It’s About To Get Ugly Again

With the nation transfixed by the bad game show that is the presidential election, now in its 3rd day and counting, it is safe to say that nobody, not even the algos will give a rat’s ass what October jobs data the BLS reports on Friday morning. Still, as we do every month, we will…