Rental-Exodus Sparks Surge In Single-Family Housing Starts & Permits

Following November’s better than expected jump in both Starts and Permits, analysts expected a more mixed picture in December as Homebuilder Sentiment rolled over and affordability collapsed. However, both Starts and Permits exploded higher to start the year (up 5.8% MoM and 4.5% MoM respectively).

Starts have now risen for 4 straight months and Permits for 2 straight months…

Source: Bloomberg

The surges in starts and permits were driven by single-family units.

Single-family Starts spiked 12% MoM from 1.195mm to 1.338mm to the highest level since Dec 2006 (as multi-family starts tumbled 15.2% MoM amid the rental exodus apparent across the nation)

Similarly, single-family permits (a proxy for future construction) rose 7.8% MoM from 1.137mm to 1.226mm as multi-family permits slipped 2.0% MoM…

The figures are the latest sign of the housing market’s strong rebound. The Federal Reserve’s ultra-easy monetary policy has helped push mortgage rates to record lows that are attracting more potential home buyers and underpinning historically strong demand.