“The Ukraine war, a global energy shock and the risk the Fed tries to fight the supply-driven inflation have sparked a reassessment of macro scenarios among market participants,” wrote Blackrock analysts in a note Monday morning. “We also see little chance of a perfect economic scenario of low inflation and growth humming along.”
BIDEN ECONOMY: Markets Fall Some More
Fed Chair Jerome Powell told investors last Wednesday afternoon that future rate hikes larger than a half percentage point are “not something the [Fed] is actively considering,” leading to a bullish surge in markets. The major indexes all grew by around 3%, and the S&P 500 and Dow had their best days in nearly two years. By Thursday investors decided they weren’t so keen on the changes, worried about the increasing chances that the Fed plunges the economy into a recession. The Dow dropped 1,120 points, or 3.3%, the S&P 500 fell 3.7%. The Nasdaq Composite tumbled 5.2%, marking its worst day since 2020.